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Real-time $R_t$ of COVID-19 pandemic in Texas (Until Sep 24)

This report estimates the county level real-time effective production number ($R_t$) of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas, based on data from the Texas Health and Human Services. This report is updated daily with the most recent version available at the ICTR website.

This report is created and maintained by data scientists from the Institute for Clinical & Translational Research, Baylor College of Medicine, with an algorithm that is based on Kevin Systrom's work for the US data. Please refer to the original report for details.

Daily new cases and real time $R_t$ for Texas Medical Center

Here are estimated $R_t$ in the past 15 days:

ML Low_90 High_90
Collected Date
2020-09-11 0.92 0.54 1.26
2020-09-12 0.90 0.52 1.24
2020-09-13 0.89 0.52 1.24
2020-09-14 0.89 0.49 1.22
2020-09-15 0.90 0.51 1.24
2020-09-16 0.90 0.51 1.24
2020-09-17 0.89 0.50 1.23
2020-09-18 0.86 0.45 1.19
2020-09-19 0.82 0.43 1.17
2020-09-20 0.78 0.37 1.12
2020-09-21 0.72 0.31 1.07
2020-09-22 0.65 0.24 1.01
2020-09-23 0.57 0.15 0.93
2020-09-24 0.49 0.08 0.85
2020-09-28 0.41 0.01 0.75

Daily new cases and real time $R_t$ for Harris County

NOTE: New cases reported on September 16 (2768) includes cases in the past month that were not reported in time. The estimated real-time $R_t$ for September 16 is therefore inaccurate.

Here are estimated $R_t$ in the past 15 days:

ML Low_90 High_90 Low_50 High_50
county date
Harris 2020-09-10 0.80 0.61 0.98 0.69 0.85
2020-09-11 0.99 0.79 1.16 0.87 1.03
2020-09-12 1.21 1.00 1.37 1.12 1.27
2020-09-13 1.48 1.28 1.64 1.38 1.53
2020-09-14 1.56 1.38 1.72 1.48 1.62
2020-09-15 1.58 1.39 1.72 1.48 1.62
2020-09-16 1.43 1.25 1.57 1.35 1.48
2020-09-17 1.24 1.05 1.37 1.15 1.28
2020-09-18 0.96 0.78 1.10 0.88 1.01
2020-09-19 1.97 1.80 2.11 1.88 2.01
2020-09-20 2.39 2.22 2.51 2.31 2.43
2020-09-21 2.59 2.45 2.71 2.51 2.62
2020-09-22 2.36 2.23 2.47 2.29 2.39
2020-09-23 1.87 1.74 1.97 1.79 1.89
2020-09-24 1.33 1.20 1.43 1.25 1.35

Daily new cases and real time $R_t$ for all Texas counties

Most recent $R_t$ by county